WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange stands very little chance of winning a seat in Australia's national elections, according to a new poll.
The Australian-born whistleblower intends to run for the upper house Senate in elections on September 14.
His WikiLeaks Party announced earlier this month that they intend to field candidates in at least three states.
But a Nielsen poll of voters, published online, showed Mr Assange had only an outside chance of victory.
He has just 15% support in the southern state of Victoria where he intends to run for a seat.
His campaign director Greg Barns had previously said the party was "certainly in the mix" to win a few seats.
Julian Assange gives a speech from a balcony of the Ecuadorean embassy The party is running on a platform of "standing up to the powerful and shining a light on injustice and corruption".
Mr Assange himself gave an upbeat assessment of his prospects last week in a telephone interview.
He said that bookmakers had him as a better prospect than the deeply unpopular ruling centre-left Labor Party.
Under Australian law, a nominee must receive more than 14% of the vote to be elected.
That means that, according to this poll, every single person who says they will consider voting for him will have to follow through.
Nielsen's research director John Stirton said it was a "big ask".
"I think his candidacy looks credible from these numbers but I still think on those numbers it would be a very big ask to win," Mr Stirton said.
"He's in the ballpark of the support he needs but he's got to convert every single one ... and I think that's highly unlikely."
Analysts expect WikiLeaks to get about 4% of the total vote in Victoria - the state in which Mr Assange is most popular - and 3% nationwide.
According to the Nielsen poll of 1,400 respondents conducted from April 11-13, 69% of Australians said they knew "a lot" or "a little" about Mr Assange and WikiLeaks.
Mr Assange has been holed up in the Ecuadorean embassy in London since June after he was granted asylum but denied free passage out of the country.
He is wanted for questioning in Sweden over sex assault allegations but fears if handed over he will be passed onto the US for his controversial diplomatic memo leaks.
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